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NEW YORK - SULL'AVIARIA, TIMORE PANDEMIA
L' ONU: SAREBBERO IN AUMENTO LE POSSIBILITA' CHE IL VIRUS MUTI
Lo ha ammonito David Nabarro, il funzionario delle Nazioni unite che sovrintende alla sindrome
11 febbraio 2006


DAVID NABARRO

NEW YORK - La diffusione dell'influenza aviaria dall'Asia all'Europa orientale, ed ora all'Africa occidentale, ha fatto aumentare le possibilità che il virus muti, causando una pandemia tra gli esseri umani. E' quanto ha ammonito stamani il funzionario dell'Onu, che sovrintende ai problemi relativi alla sindrome, David Nabarro. Lo stesso Nabarro ha aggiunto che finora non ci sono prove del mutamento del virus H5N1.
"Sfortunatamente, non possiamo dire quando avverrà la mutazione, o dove ciò si realizzerà, o quanto sarà 'cattiva' tale mutazione", ha precisato Nabarro in un'intervista all'Associated Press.
"Nondimeno - ha aggiunto - dobbiamo mantenere una forte allerta per la possibilità della trasmissione del virus da uomo a uomo o di una pandemia che può esplodere in qualsiasi momento".





 

 

 

 

 

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Flu pandemic "two mutations away"
Saturday 11 February 2006

The bird flu virus is only two mutations away from a form that can spread easily between people, sparking a pandemic in which millions could die.


Dr David Nabarro, who heads the UN drive to contain the virus, told weekly Portugese newspaper Expresso that "only two mutations are needed for it to become easily transmissible among humans.

"I wake up every morning thinking that today could be the day that I will see a report about a strange case of bird flu among humans," he added, in the interview published on Saturday.

Italy, Greece

Dr Nabarro's statement came amidst reports that the virulent H5N1 bird flu virus had reached Italy and Greece.

The virus was found in swans in three Italian regions: Puglia and Calabria in southern Italy, and Sicily, said Health Minister Francesco Storace.

In Greece, the H5N1 strain was found in three swans in the north of the country.

Nigeria

In Nigeria, authorities were investigating whether the bird flu virus had spread to humans after several people were reported ill, the health minister said on Saturday.
Eyitayo Lambo, the Health Minister, said his officials were investigating "one or two cases of reported illnesses" among humans which could be due to bird flu, though none had been confirmed so far.

The H5N1 bird flu virus has killed tens of millions of birds since 2003, and there have been at least 165 confirmed cases of the strain spreading to humans, causing about 90 deaths, mostly in Asia.

Pandemic fears

The virus has spread from Asia to eastern Europe, and Nigeria this week reported Africa's first known outbreak of the deadly strain of the disease.


Experts have long said that the H5N1 virus could mutate into a form that is easily transmitted by humans and spark a global pandemic, potentially killing millions.

Nabarro said he had told governments around the world to prepare for the arrival of a human-to-human strain of the virus "as if this will happen tomorrow."

In 1918, an influenza pandemic that was believed to have originated in birds killed more than 40 million people around the world.
Subsequent pandemics in 1957 and 1968 had lower death rates but still caused widespread disruption.

"I wake up every morning thinking that today could be the day that I will see a report about a strange case of bird flu among humans" , said dr David Nabarro,
UN bird flu panel chief.